Successful science without miracles
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Published:
09.04.2013
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Abstract
Science is highly successful in making empirical predictions and guiding our practical actions. This paper defends the so-called ‘ultimate argument for scientific realism’ by claim- ing that this empirical and pragmatic success of scientific theories would be a miracle unless they are true or truthlike. This argument is abductive in Charles Peirce’s sense, as it appeals to inference to the best explanation.
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How to Cite
Niiniluoto I. Successful science without miracles // Logicheskie Issledovaniya / Logical Investigations. 2013. VOL. 19. C. 184-196.
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Section
Papers
References
Barrett, J.A., Approximate Truth and Descriptive Nesting, Erkenntnis 68:213–224, 2008.
Chang, H., Preservative Realism and Its Discontents: Revisiting Caloric, Philosophy of Science 70:902–912, 2003.
Douven, I., Empirical Equivalence, Explanatory Theories, and the Inference to the Best Theory, in R. Festa, A. Aliseda, and J. Peijnenburg (eds.), Confirmation, Empirical Progress, and Truth Approximation, Amsterdam: Rodopi, 2005, pp. 281–313.
Elsamahi, M., A Critique of Localized Realism, Philosophy of Science 72:1350–1360, 2005.
Festa, R., Bayesian Confirmation, in M. C. Galavotti and A. Pagnini (eds.), Experience, Reality, and Scientific Explanation, Dordrecht: Kluwer, 1999, pp. 55–87.
Fine, A., Unnatural Attitudes: Realist and Instrumentalist Attachments to Science, Mind 95:149–179, 1986.
Kuipers, T., Abduction aiming at Empirical Progress or even Truth Approximation leading to a Challenge for Computational Modelling, Foundations of Science 4:307–323, 1999.
Kuipers, T., From Instrumentalism to Constructive Realism: On Some Relations between Confirmation, Empirical Progress, and Truth Approximation, Dordrecht: Kluwer, 2000.
Kuipers, T., The Hypothetico-Probabilistic (HP)-Method as a Concretization of the HD-Method, in S. Pihlstrom, P. Raatikainen & M. Sintonen (eds.), Approaching truth: Essays in honour of Ilkka Niiniluoto, London: College Publications, 2007, pp. 179–207.
Laudan, L., Science and Values, Berkeley and Los Angeles: University of California Press, 1984.
Leplin, J., A Theory’s Predictive Success can Warrant Belief in the Unobservable Entities it Postulates, in C. Hitchcock (ed.), Contemporary Debates in Philosophy of Science, Oxford: Blackwell, 2004, pp. 117–132.
Lyons, T., Scientific Realism and the Stratagema de Divide et Impera, British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 57:537–560, 2006.
Musgrave, A., The Ultimate Argument for Scientific Realism. in R. Nola (ed.), Relativism and Realism in Science, Dordrecht: Kluwer, 1988.
Niiniluoto, I., Is Science Progressive?, Dordrecht: D. Reidel, 1984.
Niiniluoto, I., Truthlikeness, Dordrecht: D. Reidel, 1987.
Niiniluoto, I., Critical Scientific Realism, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1999.
Niiniluoto, I., Defending Abduction, Philosophy of Science(Proceedings) 66:436–451, 1999.
Niiniluoto, I., Truth-seeking by Abduction, in F. Stadler (ed.), Induction and Deduction in the Sciences, Dordrecht: Kluwer, 2004, pp. 57–82.
Niiniluoto, I., Abduction and Truthlikeness. in R. Festa, A. Aliseda, and J. Peijnenburg (eds.), Confirmation, Empirical Progress, and Truth Approximation, Amsterdam: Rodopi, 2005, pp. 255–275.
Niiniluoto, I., Idealization, Counterfactuals, and Truthlikeness, in J. Brzezinski et al. (eds.), The Courage of Doing Philosophy: Essays Presented to Leszek Nowak, Rodopi: Amsterdam, 2007, pp. 103–122.
Niiniluoto, I., Evaluation of Theories. in T. Kuipers (ed.), Handbook of Philosophy of Science: General Philosophy of Science — Focal Issues, Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2007, pp. 175–217.
Niiniluoto, I., Abduction and Scientific Realism, in F. Keskin (ed.), The Proceedings of the Twenty-First World Congress of Philosophy, vol. 12. Philosophical Trends in the XXth Century, Ankara: Philosophical Society of Turkey, 2007, pp. 137–142.
Niiniluoto, I., Abduction, Unification, and Bayesian Confirmation: Comment on Schurz, in C. Dermont, L. Keiff, and H. Ruckert (eds.), Dialogues, Logic and Other Strange Things, London: College Publications, 2008, pp. 365–370.
Niiniluoto, I., Abduction, Tomography, and Other Inverse Problems, Studies in History and Philosophy of Science 42:135–139, 2011.
Niiniluoto, I., Revising Beliefs Towards the Truth, Erkenntnis 75:165–181, 2011.
Niiniluoto, I., and R. Tuomela, Theoretical Concepts and Hypothetico-Inductive Inference, Dordrecht: D. Reidel, 1973.
Peirce, C.S., Collected Papers 1-6, ed. by C. Hartshorne and P. Weiss. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1931–35.
Pihlstrom, S., Raatikainen, P., and Sintonen, M. (eds.), Approaching Truth: Essays in Honor of Ilkka Niiniluoto, London: College Publications, 2007.
Psillos, S., Scientific Realism: How Science Tracks Truth, London: Routledge, 1999.
Psillos, S., Knowing the Structure of Nature: Essays on Realism and Explanation, Houndmills: Palgrave Macmillan, 2009.
Smokler, H., Conflicting Conceptions of Confirmation, The Journal of Philosophy 65:300–312, 1968.
Stanford, P.K., Exceeding Our Grasp: Science, History, and the Problem of Unconceived Alternatives, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2006.
van Fraassen, B., Laws and Symmetry, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1989.
Chang, H., Preservative Realism and Its Discontents: Revisiting Caloric, Philosophy of Science 70:902–912, 2003.
Douven, I., Empirical Equivalence, Explanatory Theories, and the Inference to the Best Theory, in R. Festa, A. Aliseda, and J. Peijnenburg (eds.), Confirmation, Empirical Progress, and Truth Approximation, Amsterdam: Rodopi, 2005, pp. 281–313.
Elsamahi, M., A Critique of Localized Realism, Philosophy of Science 72:1350–1360, 2005.
Festa, R., Bayesian Confirmation, in M. C. Galavotti and A. Pagnini (eds.), Experience, Reality, and Scientific Explanation, Dordrecht: Kluwer, 1999, pp. 55–87.
Fine, A., Unnatural Attitudes: Realist and Instrumentalist Attachments to Science, Mind 95:149–179, 1986.
Kuipers, T., Abduction aiming at Empirical Progress or even Truth Approximation leading to a Challenge for Computational Modelling, Foundations of Science 4:307–323, 1999.
Kuipers, T., From Instrumentalism to Constructive Realism: On Some Relations between Confirmation, Empirical Progress, and Truth Approximation, Dordrecht: Kluwer, 2000.
Kuipers, T., The Hypothetico-Probabilistic (HP)-Method as a Concretization of the HD-Method, in S. Pihlstrom, P. Raatikainen & M. Sintonen (eds.), Approaching truth: Essays in honour of Ilkka Niiniluoto, London: College Publications, 2007, pp. 179–207.
Laudan, L., Science and Values, Berkeley and Los Angeles: University of California Press, 1984.
Leplin, J., A Theory’s Predictive Success can Warrant Belief in the Unobservable Entities it Postulates, in C. Hitchcock (ed.), Contemporary Debates in Philosophy of Science, Oxford: Blackwell, 2004, pp. 117–132.
Lyons, T., Scientific Realism and the Stratagema de Divide et Impera, British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 57:537–560, 2006.
Musgrave, A., The Ultimate Argument for Scientific Realism. in R. Nola (ed.), Relativism and Realism in Science, Dordrecht: Kluwer, 1988.
Niiniluoto, I., Is Science Progressive?, Dordrecht: D. Reidel, 1984.
Niiniluoto, I., Truthlikeness, Dordrecht: D. Reidel, 1987.
Niiniluoto, I., Critical Scientific Realism, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1999.
Niiniluoto, I., Defending Abduction, Philosophy of Science(Proceedings) 66:436–451, 1999.
Niiniluoto, I., Truth-seeking by Abduction, in F. Stadler (ed.), Induction and Deduction in the Sciences, Dordrecht: Kluwer, 2004, pp. 57–82.
Niiniluoto, I., Abduction and Truthlikeness. in R. Festa, A. Aliseda, and J. Peijnenburg (eds.), Confirmation, Empirical Progress, and Truth Approximation, Amsterdam: Rodopi, 2005, pp. 255–275.
Niiniluoto, I., Idealization, Counterfactuals, and Truthlikeness, in J. Brzezinski et al. (eds.), The Courage of Doing Philosophy: Essays Presented to Leszek Nowak, Rodopi: Amsterdam, 2007, pp. 103–122.
Niiniluoto, I., Evaluation of Theories. in T. Kuipers (ed.), Handbook of Philosophy of Science: General Philosophy of Science — Focal Issues, Amsterdam: Elsevier, 2007, pp. 175–217.
Niiniluoto, I., Abduction and Scientific Realism, in F. Keskin (ed.), The Proceedings of the Twenty-First World Congress of Philosophy, vol. 12. Philosophical Trends in the XXth Century, Ankara: Philosophical Society of Turkey, 2007, pp. 137–142.
Niiniluoto, I., Abduction, Unification, and Bayesian Confirmation: Comment on Schurz, in C. Dermont, L. Keiff, and H. Ruckert (eds.), Dialogues, Logic and Other Strange Things, London: College Publications, 2008, pp. 365–370.
Niiniluoto, I., Abduction, Tomography, and Other Inverse Problems, Studies in History and Philosophy of Science 42:135–139, 2011.
Niiniluoto, I., Revising Beliefs Towards the Truth, Erkenntnis 75:165–181, 2011.
Niiniluoto, I., and R. Tuomela, Theoretical Concepts and Hypothetico-Inductive Inference, Dordrecht: D. Reidel, 1973.
Peirce, C.S., Collected Papers 1-6, ed. by C. Hartshorne and P. Weiss. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1931–35.
Pihlstrom, S., Raatikainen, P., and Sintonen, M. (eds.), Approaching Truth: Essays in Honor of Ilkka Niiniluoto, London: College Publications, 2007.
Psillos, S., Scientific Realism: How Science Tracks Truth, London: Routledge, 1999.
Psillos, S., Knowing the Structure of Nature: Essays on Realism and Explanation, Houndmills: Palgrave Macmillan, 2009.
Smokler, H., Conflicting Conceptions of Confirmation, The Journal of Philosophy 65:300–312, 1968.
Stanford, P.K., Exceeding Our Grasp: Science, History, and the Problem of Unconceived Alternatives, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2006.
van Fraassen, B., Laws and Symmetry, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1989.